███████░░░ Estimated from VIX 0.00Summary: S&P 500 +3.18%, Nasdaq +5.05%, VIX 14.90. Leaders: XLK, XLB, XLI / Laggards: XLE, XLU, XLP.
This 5-day cumulative wrap covers 2026년 8월 1주차 (8월 3일~7일), smoothing intraday noise to highlight directional bias and breadth. Reading three axes (indices, sectors, volatility) together is more reliable than any single number.
📊 Index Snapshot
| Index | Ticker | Week Open | Week Close | 5D Pct | Max DD | Avg Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | SPY | $749.44 | $773.26 | +3.18% | -0.09% | 51.0M |
| Nasdaq-100 | QQQ | $688.30 | $723.03 | +5.05% | -0.36% | 40.1M |
| Dow 30 | DIA | $529.55 | $539.62 | +1.90% | -0.16% | 4.4M |
| Russell 2000 | IWM | $292.90 | $301.56 | +2.96% | -0.17% | 19.2M |
| VIX | ^VIX | 16.03 | 14.90 | -7.05% | - | - |
🌐 Macro Pulse — Treasury Yields & Dollar
| Indicator | Ticker | Current | vs Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | ^TNX | 4.66% | -0.21% |
| US 30Y Treasury Yield | ^TYX | 5.21% | -0.04% |
| US 5Y Treasury Yield | ^FVX | 4.36% | -0.62% |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | DX-Y.NYB | 99.60 | -0.37% |
The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) is a core discount-rate variable for risk assets. A stronger DXY tends to slow foreign inflows.
📈 Sector Strength & Weakness
| # | Sector | Ticker | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | XLK | +8.02% |
| 2 | Materials | XLB | +4.18% |
| 3 | Industrials | XLI | +2.62% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | XLY | +1.89% |
| 5 | Communication Services | XLC | +1.29% |
| 6 | Health Care | XLV | +1.25% |
| 7 | Financials | XLF | +0.54% |
| 8 | Real Estate | XLRE | -0.22% |
| 9 | Consumer Staples | XLP | -0.93% |
| 10 | Utilities | XLU | -1.42% |
| 11 | Energy | XLE | -2.03% |
🚀 Magnificent 7
| Company | Ticker | Close | Change | RSI(14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | TSLA | $328.58 | +2.83% | 34.9 |
| NVIDIA | NVDA | $223.96 | +2.27% | 65.6 |
| Amazon | AMZN | $274.48 | +0.82% | 62.9 |
| Meta | META | $592.10 | +0.37% | 33.7 |
| Apple | AAPL | $313.33 | +0.29% | 40.8 |
| Microsoft | MSFT | $499.99 | +0.03% | 81.4 ⚠️과매수 |
| Alphabet | GOOGL | $354.30 | -0.96% | 50.9 |
The mega-cap seven drive Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) direction. RSI above 70 signals short-term overbought conditions.
💡 Today’s Market Narrative
Across 5 trading days, S&P 500 cumulative return: +3.18%, Nasdaq: +5.05%. VIX moved from 16.03 to 14.90 (-7.05%). Top sectors: XLK, XLB, XLI. Bottom: XLE, XLU, XLP.
🔮 What to Watch Next
- FOMC 의사록·연준 발언 일정 확인
- 주요 경제지표 발표 (CPI/PPI/소매판매/PCE 등) 캘린더 확인
- 다음 주 어닝 발표 메이저 종목 (NVDA/AAPL/MSFT/META/AMZN/GOOG/TSLA 등) 확인
- 10년물 미국채 금리 흐름과 달러 인덱스(DXY) 모니터링
- VIX 가 지난 주 종가 기준 어느 방향으로 움직이는지 추적
⚡ Action Points (Informational)
- Compare your held sectors against the week’s leaders and laggards.
- Track whether the same sector leadership persists into next week.
- Reassess position sizing if 5-day max drawdown widened materially.
- A strong week does not guarantee the same pace next week.
This analysis is informational only and not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.