█████░░░░░ Estimated from VIX 0.00Summary: S&P 500 -2.50%, Nasdaq -4.78%, VIX 18.41. Leaders: XLV, XLU, XLRE / Laggards: XLK, XLC, XLY.
This 5-day cumulative wrap covers 2026년 6월 4주차 (6월 22일~26일), smoothing intraday noise to highlight directional bias and breadth. Reading three axes (indices, sectors, volatility) together is more reliable than any single number.
📊 Index Snapshot
| Index | Ticker | Week Open | Week Close | 5D Pct | Max DD | Avg Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | SPY | $747.70 | $728.99 | -2.50% | -2.79% | 58.9M |
| Nasdaq-100 | QQQ | $742.02 | $706.52 | -4.78% | -5.28% | 48.8M |
| Dow 30 | DIA | $516.84 | $517.75 | +0.18% | -0.75% | 5.0M |
| Russell 2000 | IWM | $297.13 | $299.83 | +0.91% | -1.59% | 28.9M |
| VIX | ^VIX | 17.48 | 18.41 | +5.32% | - | - |
🌐 Macro Pulse — Treasury Yields & Dollar
| Indicator | Ticker | Current | vs Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | ^TNX | 4.37% | +0.00% |
| US 30Y Treasury Yield | ^TYX | 4.86% | +0.00% |
| US 5Y Treasury Yield | ^FVX | 4.13% | +0.00% |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | DX-Y.NYB | 101.37 | -0.06% |
The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) is a core discount-rate variable for risk assets. A stronger DXY tends to slow foreign inflows.
📈 Sector Strength & Weakness
| # | Sector | Ticker | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Health Care | XLV | +7.37% |
| 2 | Utilities | XLU | +3.87% |
| 3 | Real Estate | XLRE | +3.60% |
| 4 | Consumer Staples | XLP | +2.48% |
| 5 | Materials | XLB | +0.82% |
| 6 | Energy | XLE | +0.58% |
| 7 | Industrials | XLI | +0.23% |
| 8 | Financials | XLF | -0.09% |
| 9 | Consumer Discretionary | XLY | -1.40% |
| 10 | Communication Services | XLC | -1.80% |
| 11 | Technology | XLK | -6.14% |
🚀 Magnificent 7
| Company | Ticker | Close | Change | RSI(14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | MSFT | $372.97 | +5.71% | 31.3 |
| Apple | AAPL | $283.78 | +3.14% | 33.5 |
| Amazon | AMZN | $232.69 | +2.50% | 39.5 |
| Meta | META | $550.25 | +1.36% | 35.1 |
| Tesla | TSLA | $379.71 | +1.22% | 45.8 |
| NVIDIA | NVDA | $192.53 | -1.64% | 38.7 |
| Alphabet | GOOGL | $337.39 | -1.84% | 29.3 🔵과매도 |
The mega-cap seven drive Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) direction. RSI above 70 signals short-term overbought conditions.
💡 Today’s Market Narrative
Across 5 trading days, S&P 500 cumulative return: -2.50%, Nasdaq: -4.78%. VIX moved from 17.48 to 18.41 (+5.32%). Top sectors: XLV, XLU, XLRE. Bottom: XLK, XLC, XLY.
🔮 What to Watch Next
- FOMC 의사록·연준 발언 일정 확인
- 주요 경제지표 발표 (CPI/PPI/소매판매/PCE 등) 캘린더 확인
- 다음 주 어닝 발표 메이저 종목 (NVDA/AAPL/MSFT/META/AMZN/GOOG/TSLA 등) 확인
- 10년물 미국채 금리 흐름과 달러 인덱스(DXY) 모니터링
- VIX 가 지난 주 종가 기준 어느 방향으로 움직이는지 추적
⚡ Action Points (Informational)
- Compare your held sectors against the week’s leaders and laggards.
- Track whether the same sector leadership persists into next week.
- Reassess position sizing if 5-day max drawdown widened materially.
- A strong week does not guarantee the same pace next week.
This analysis is informational only and not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.