██████░░░░ Estimated from VIX 0.00Summary: S&P 500 +0.79%, Nasdaq +0.84%, VIX 16.70. Leaders: XLV, XLRE, XLU / Laggards: XLC, XLB, XLP.
This 5-day cumulative wrap covers 2026년 5월 4주차 (5월 18일~22일), smoothing intraday noise to highlight directional bias and breadth. Reading three axes (indices, sectors, volatility) together is more reliable than any single number.
📊 Index Snapshot
| Index | Ticker | Week Open | Week Close | 5D Pct | Max DD | Avg Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | SPY | $739.83 | $745.64 | +0.79% | -1.12% | 45.4M |
| Nasdaq-100 | QQQ | $711.54 | $717.54 | +0.84% | -2.29% | 40.1M |
| Dow 30 | DIA | $495.65 | $506.12 | +2.11% | -0.64% | 5.8M |
| Russell 2000 | IWM | $278.74 | $285.12 | +2.29% | -2.91% | 28.6M |
| VIX | ^VIX | 19.25 | 16.70 | -13.25% | - | - |
🌐 Macro Pulse — Treasury Yields & Dollar
| Indicator | Ticker | Current | vs Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield | ^TNX | 4.56% | -0.61% |
| US 30Y Treasury Yield | ^TYX | 5.06% | -0.94% |
| US 5Y Treasury Yield | ^FVX | 4.26% | -0.02% |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | DX-Y.NYB | 99.32 | +0.13% |
The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) is a core discount-rate variable for risk assets. A stronger DXY tends to slow foreign inflows.
📈 Sector Strength & Weakness
| # | Sector | Ticker | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Health Care | XLV | +3.73% |
| 2 | Real Estate | XLRE | +2.93% |
| 3 | Utilities | XLU | +2.90% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | XLY | +2.30% |
| 5 | Financials | XLF | +1.82% |
| 6 | Technology | XLK | +1.56% |
| 7 | Energy | XLE | +0.61% |
| 8 | Industrials | XLI | +0.12% |
| 9 | Consumer Staples | XLP | +0.06% |
| 10 | Materials | XLB | -0.08% |
| 11 | Communication Services | XLC | -0.50% |
🚀 Magnificent 7
| Company | Ticker | Close | Change | RSI(14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | TSLA | $426.01 | +1.95% | 61.5 |
| Apple | AAPL | $308.82 | +1.26% | 90.5 ⚠️과매수 |
| Meta | META | $610.26 | +0.47% | 49.9 |
| Microsoft | MSFT | $418.57 | -0.12% | 54.3 |
| Amazon | AMZN | $266.32 | -0.80% | 43.3 |
| Alphabet | GOOGL | $382.97 | -1.21% | 49.8 |
| NVIDIA | NVDA | $215.33 | -1.90% | 62.5 |
The mega-cap seven drive Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) direction. RSI above 70 signals short-term overbought conditions.
💡 Today’s Market Narrative
Across 5 trading days, S&P 500 cumulative return: +0.79%, Nasdaq: +0.84%. VIX moved from 19.25 to 16.70 (-13.25%). Top sectors: XLV, XLRE, XLU. Bottom: XLC, XLB, XLP.
🔮 What to Watch Next
- FOMC 의사록·연준 발언 일정 확인
- 주요 경제지표 발표 (CPI/PPI/소매판매/PCE 등) 캘린더 확인
- 다음 주 어닝 발표 메이저 종목 (NVDA/AAPL/MSFT/META/AMZN/GOOG/TSLA 등) 확인
- 10년물 미국채 금리 흐름과 달러 인덱스(DXY) 모니터링
- VIX 가 지난 주 종가 기준 어느 방향으로 움직이는지 추적
⚡ Action Points (Informational)
- Compare your held sectors against the week’s leaders and laggards.
- Track whether the same sector leadership persists into next week.
- Reassess position sizing if 5-day max drawdown widened materially.
- A strong week does not guarantee the same pace next week.
This analysis is informational only and not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.